"・・・・
Will there be money? And what will it be? A lot of idealists promote what they call "local currency." Presumably this is some kind of paper medium-of-exchange representing claims for future work or goods. Their models are Berkshire Bucks and the scrip issued in Ithaca, New York. I do not believe this for a moment, anymore than I believe we'll be driving psychedelic Volkswagon buses to rock festivals twenty years from now. I believe money will be silver and / or gold.
・・・・
There's no guarantee that the USA will hold together as a continent-sized federal republic, and if history is any guide the fact is that political boundaries constantly shift over time.・・・"
Why Saudi is now in play
http://oilandglory.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/02/21/why_saudi_is_now_in_play
Posted By Steve LeVine Monday, February 21, 2011
if the Shia population does start protesting, we will see the oil market's version of pandemonium.
So trouble in Saudi Arabia no longer seems notional. Libya makes it more plausible.
Review of IMF analysis, "Oil Scarcity, Growth, and Global Imbalances"
http://www.energybulletin.net/stories/2011-04-14/review-imf-analysis-oil-scarcity-growth-and-global-imbalances
遅ればせながらIMFが石油不足に警鐘を鳴らすようになりました。
Imagining a world without oil
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/imagining-a-world-without-oil/2011/04/12/AFppFHKE_story.html
Green Futurology Part ?; Green Prediction
資源・環境問題がもたらす経済・社会危機の予測
Green Sophia, 監修責任者 ; 星野克美、犬塚潤一郎、金正則
http://media.isla.co.jp/etext/gfuturologypart1v10.pdf
http://arxiv.org/PS_cache/arxiv/pdf/1108/1108.2455v1.pdf
The Food Crises and Political Instability in North Africa and the Middle East
Marco Lagi, Karla Z. Bertrand and Yaneer Bar-Yam
New England Complex Systems Institute
3.2 The Systemic Risk of Exceeding the Tipping Point(56ページ〜)
中期的推移:銀行が利子を払えないほどに商売の基盤を失うと、通貨が信用されなくなって、分業という労働形態も覚束なくなり、当然、為替取引もおかしくなり、失業者が溢れて、歳入不足から国家破綻、既存インフラも維持できなくなって、行き着く先は飢餓。
Towards a World War III Scenario
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/energyresources/message/128065
Sun Oct 23, 2011 10:08 pm
Jay says: I have speculated about this myself, on and off, for the 20
years. Given the fact that the oil industry has known about peak oil
for at least 50 years, < http://www.jayhanson.us/eur.htm > plus the fact
that so-called renewable energy can not maintain present political
arrangements, < http://www.jayhanson.us/plutocracy.html > the */only
remaining alternative our rulers has left/ is to kill everyone else in
the world and **seize their resources.***